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FA Cup · England
Ebbsfleet United vs Sholing prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Ebbsfleet United host Sholing in the FA Cup (England) on 3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Ebbsfleet United Win — Ebbsfleet United to win. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 70% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Ebbsfleet United 1–2 Sholing.
Going into the match, Ebbsfleet United had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 11. Sholing had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Ebbsfleet United's last 10 and 3 of Sholing's last 10; 5 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Ebbsfleet United averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Sholing averaged 1.17 scored and 0.50 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.66 goals from Ebbsfleet United and 1.02 from Sholing. From that it rates a home win at 51%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 22%, against 70%, 16% and 14% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 51%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Ebbsfleet United (green) and Sholing (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ebbsfleet United | DWWDD | 1.50 | 1.10 | 80% | 50% |
| Sholing | WDWLW | 1.10 | 1.00 | 30% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 77% | 1.24 |
| Ebbsfleet United Win | 70% | 1.28 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.69 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Ebbsfleet United 1st Half Win | 53% | 1.67 |
| BTTS Yes | 51% | 1.81 |
| Ebbsfleet United HT & FT | 51% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.