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National League - South · England
Ebbsfleet United vs Horsham prediction and preview
20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Ebbsfleet United host Horsham in the National League - South (England) on 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Ebbsfleet United 2–2 Horsham.
Going into the match, Ebbsfleet United had won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 22 and conceding 7. Horsham had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Ebbsfleet United's last 10 and 8 of Horsham's last 10; 5 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Ebbsfleet United averaged 2.10 goals scored and 0.90 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Horsham averaged 1.00 scored and 1.27 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.62 goals from Ebbsfleet United and 1.00 from Horsham. From that it rates a home win at 51%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 22%, against 61%, 24% and 16% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 73%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Ebbsfleet United (green) and Horsham (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ebbsfleet United | WWWWL | 2.20 | 0.70 | 60% | 50% |
| Horsham | WLLDW | 1.30 | 1.40 | 80% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Ebbsfleet United Win | 64% | 1.48 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 64% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.70 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 52% | 1.82 |
| BTTS Yes | 51% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.