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National League - South · England
Ebbsfleet United vs Folkestone Invicta prediction and preview
6 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Ebbsfleet United host Folkestone Invicta in the National League - South (England) on 6 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.20, which the bookmaker market rated at about 78% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Ebbsfleet United 1–0 Folkestone Invicta.
Going into the match, Ebbsfleet United had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 11. Folkestone Invicta had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Ebbsfleet United's last 10 and 7 of Folkestone Invicta's last 10; 5 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Ebbsfleet United averaged 1.29 goals scored and 1.14 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Folkestone Invicta averaged 1.27 scored and 2.00 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.70 goals from Ebbsfleet United and 1.12 from Folkestone Invicta. From that it rates a home win at 50%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 24%, against 50%, 24% and 26% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 78%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Ebbsfleet United (green) and Folkestone Invicta (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ebbsfleet United | LDWWD | 1.50 | 1.10 | 80% | 50% |
| Folkestone Invicta | LLLDL | 1.70 | 1.50 | 70% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Ebbsfleet United Win | 50% | 1.80 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.