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National League - South · England
Ebbsfleet United vs AFC Totton prediction and preview
13 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Ebbsfleet United host AFC Totton in the National League - South (England) on 13 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.57, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Ebbsfleet United 5–0 AFC Totton.
Going into the match, Ebbsfleet United had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 8. AFC Totton had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 7 scored and 18 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Ebbsfleet United's last 10 and 3 of AFC Totton's last 10; 4 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Ebbsfleet United averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 8 matches; away from home AFC Totton averaged 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.39 goals from Ebbsfleet United and 0.58 from AFC Totton. From that it rates a home win at 77%, a draw at 17% and an away win at 7%, against 67%, 19% and 14% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 57%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Ebbsfleet United (green) and AFC Totton (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ebbsfleet United | WWLDW | 1.40 | 0.80 | 60% | 40% |
| AFC Totton | LLLLL | 0.70 | 1.80 | 30% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| Ebbsfleet United Win | 66% | 1.38 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 61% | 1.57 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 59% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 1.80 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.