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League One · Scotland
East Kilbride vs Airdrie United prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
East Kilbride host Airdrie United in the League One (Scotland) on 10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: East Kilbride 2–2 Airdrie United.
Going into the match, East Kilbride had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 19. Airdrie United had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 21 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of East Kilbride's last 10 and 6 of Airdrie United's last 10; 9 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home East Kilbride averaged 3.62 goals scored and 1.31 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Airdrie United averaged 1.33 scored and 1.83 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.03 goals from East Kilbride and 1.47 from Airdrie United. From that it rates a home win at 50%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 27%, against 49%, 26% and 25% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 54%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between East Kilbride (green) and Airdrie United (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East Kilbride | WLDWW | 2.00 | 1.90 | 60% | 90% |
| Airdrie United | WWWWW | 2.10 | 1.10 | 60% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 8 Aug 2026 · Airdrie United 1–1 East Kilbride
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 1X | 74% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.70 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.