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League One · Scotland
East Fife vs East Kilbride prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
East Fife host East Kilbride in the League One (Scotland) on 3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.20, which the bookmaker market rated at about 78% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: East Fife 0–3 East Kilbride.
Going into the match, East Fife had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 16. East Kilbride had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 20 scored and 19 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of East Fife's last 10 and 6 of East Kilbride's last 10; 6 and 9 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home East Fife averaged 1.75 goals scored and 1.42 conceded across 12 matches; away from home East Kilbride averaged 1.50 scored and 2.20 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.33 goals from East Fife and 1.85 from East Kilbride. From that it rates a home win at 27%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 49%, against 29%, 26% and 45% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 84%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between East Fife (green) and East Kilbride (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East Fife | LLWDW | 1.50 | 1.60 | 70% | 60% |
| East Kilbride | LDWWW | 2.00 | 1.90 | 60% | 90% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.70 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
| East Kilbride Win | 45% | 2.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.