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IFA Shield · India
East Bengal II vs NorthEast United prediction and preview
5 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
East Bengal II host NorthEast United in the IFA Shield (India) on 5 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is East Bengal II Win — East Bengal II to win. It was published at odds of 1.73, which the bookmaker market rated at about 52% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: East Bengal II 7–2 NorthEast United.
Going into the match, East Bengal II had won 4, drawn 5 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 11. NorthEast United had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 9, with 14 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of East Bengal II's last 10 and 4 of NorthEast United's last 9; 6 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home East Bengal II averaged 1.40 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 5 matches; away from home NorthEast United averaged 1.67 scored and 0.67 conceded across 3.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.93 goals from East Bengal II and 1.62 from NorthEast United. From that it rates a home win at 64%, a draw at 17% and an away win at 19%, against 52%, 26% and 22% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 64%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between East Bengal II (green) and NorthEast United (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East Bengal II | LWDDW | 1.70 | 1.10 | 70% | 60% |
| NorthEast United | DWWWW | 1.56 | 1.22 | 44% | 44% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 1.75 |
| East Bengal II Win | 52% | 1.73 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.90 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.90 |
| East Bengal II HT & FT | 34% | 2.75 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.