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Liga de Expansión MX · Mexico
Durango vs Mineros de Zacatecas prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Durango host Mineros de Zacatecas in the Liga de Expansión MX (Mexico) on 4 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Durango to win or draw. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.
Final score: Durango 4–2 Mineros de Zacatecas.
Going into the match, Durango had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 9. Mineros de Zacatecas had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 21 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of Durango's last 10 and 5 of Mineros de Zacatecas's last 10; 2 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Durango averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.13 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Mineros de Zacatecas averaged 1.11 scored and 2.56 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.90 goals from Durango and 0.78 from Mineros de Zacatecas. From that it rates a home win at 63%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 14%. For the published pick itself the model gives 86%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Durango (green) and Mineros de Zacatecas (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Durango | WWLDD | 0.70 | 0.90 | 20% | 20% |
| Mineros de Zacatecas | WWLLW | 2.10 | 1.50 | 50% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.