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Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 · Spain
Durango vs Derio prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Durango host Derio in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 (Spain) on 10 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Derio to win or draw. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.
Final score: Durango 1–1 Derio.
Going into the match, Durango had won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 14. Derio had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Durango's last 10 and 4 of Derio's last 10; 6 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Durango averaged 1.60 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Derio averaged 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.34 goals from Durango and 1.26 from Derio. From that it rates a home win at 37%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 34%. For the published pick itself the model gives 63%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Durango (green) and Derio (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.