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Premiership · Northern Ireland
Dungannon Swifts vs Carrick Rangers prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Dungannon Swifts host Carrick Rangers in the Premiership (Northern Ireland) on 10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Dungannon Swifts 2–4 Carrick Rangers.
Going into the match, Dungannon Swifts had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 10. Carrick Rangers had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of Dungannon Swifts's last 10 and 4 of Carrick Rangers's last 10; 3 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Dungannon Swifts averaged 1.88 goals scored and 1.25 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Carrick Rangers averaged 2.73 scored and 1.27 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.52 goals from Dungannon Swifts and 1.69 from Carrick Rangers. From that it rates a home win at 34%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 41%, against 41%, 25% and 34% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 60%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Dungannon Swifts (green) and Carrick Rangers (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dungannon Swifts | LDLLW | 1.20 | 1.00 | 20% | 30% |
| Carrick Rangers | WLLDL | 1.50 | 1.50 | 40% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 6 May 2026 · Dungannon Swifts 3–1 Carrick Rangers
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 62% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 61% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.60 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 53% | 1.75 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.