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Championship · Scotland
Dunfermline vs Partick prediction and preview
20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Dunfermline host Partick in the Championship (Scotland) on 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Dunfermline 1–1 Partick.
Going into the match, Dunfermline had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 11. Partick had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 4 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Dunfermline's last 10 and 2 of Partick's last 10; 2 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Dunfermline averaged 1.31 goals scored and 0.85 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Partick averaged 1.07 scored and 0.79 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.59 goals from Dunfermline and 0.82 from Partick. From that it rates a home win at 23%, a draw at 40% and an away win at 37%, against 32%, 28% and 40% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 42%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Dunfermline (green) and Partick (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dunfermline | DDLWW | 0.90 | 1.10 | 50% | 20% |
| Partick | WWWDL | 1.00 | 0.40 | 20% | 20% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 15 May 2026 · Partick 2–1 Dunfermline
- 12 May 2026 · Dunfermline 1–1 Partick
- 11 Apr 2026 · Partick 2–0 Dunfermline
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 72% | 1.33 |
| Double Chance 12 | 71% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 52% | 1.85 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.