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Premier Division · Ireland
Dundalk vs Bohemians prediction and preview
2 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Dundalk host Bohemians in the Premier Division (Ireland) on 2 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Dundalk 1–2 Bohemians.
Going into the match, Dundalk had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 21 and conceding 21. Bohemians had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 20 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Dundalk's last 10 and 5 of Bohemians's last 10; 7 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Dundalk averaged 1.85 goals scored and 1.85 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Bohemians averaged 1.86 scored and 1.71 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.59 goals from Dundalk and 2.04 from Bohemians. From that it rates a home win at 30%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 48%, against 26%, 25% and 48% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 70%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Dundalk (green) and Bohemians (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 19 Jun 2026 · Bohemians 1–2 Dundalk
- 8 May 2026 · Dundalk 1–3 Bohemians
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 75% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| BTTS Yes | 61% | 1.53 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
| Bohemians Win | 48% | 1.90 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.