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League Two · Scotland
Dumbarton vs Stirling Albion prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Dumbarton host Stirling Albion in the League Two (Scotland) on 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Dumbarton 1–1 Stirling Albion.
Going into the match, Dumbarton had won 5, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 23. Stirling Albion had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 24 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Dumbarton's last 10 and 7 of Stirling Albion's last 10; 9 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Dumbarton averaged 1.62 goals scored and 1.54 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Stirling Albion averaged 1.42 scored and 2.42 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.86 goals from Dumbarton and 1.66 from Stirling Albion. From that it rates a home win at 42%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 34%, against 39%, 25% and 36% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 69%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Dumbarton (green) and Stirling Albion (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dumbarton | LLWWW | 1.60 | 2.30 | 70% | 90% |
| Stirling Albion | DWWLD | 1.60 | 2.40 | 70% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 1 Aug 2026 · Stirling Albion 2–0 Dumbarton
- 11 Apr 2026 · Dumbarton 2–1 Stirling Albion
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.28 |
| BTTS Yes | 64% | 1.50 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 59% | 1.62 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over 10.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other League Two matches that day
- Clyde vs Annan Athletic · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.53 - Elgin City vs Edinburgh City · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League Two
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.53 · FT 0–0 - Kelty Hearts vs Forfar Athletic · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League Two
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.73 · FT 2–1 - Spartans vs Stranraer · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League Two
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.53 · FT 0–2