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League Two · Scotland
Dumbarton vs Forfar Athletic prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Dumbarton host Forfar Athletic in the League Two (Scotland) on 3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.22, which the bookmaker market rated at about 77% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Dumbarton 2–1 Forfar Athletic.
Going into the match, Dumbarton had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 24. Forfar Athletic had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Dumbarton's last 10 and 4 of Forfar Athletic's last 10; 9 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Dumbarton averaged 1.58 goals scored and 1.58 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Forfar Athletic averaged 0.70 scored and 2.40 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.65 goals from Dumbarton and 1.20 from Forfar Athletic. From that it rates a home win at 47%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 27%, against 41%, 26% and 33% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 79%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Dumbarton (green) and Forfar Athletic (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dumbarton | WWWLL | 1.60 | 2.40 | 70% | 90% |
| Forfar Athletic | WWLWL | 1.10 | 1.60 | 40% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.70 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.