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Cup · Czech Republic
Dukla Praha vs FK Jablonec prediction and preview
2 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Dukla Praha host FK Jablonec in the Cup (Czech Republic) on 2 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — FK Jablonec to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 75% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Dukla Praha 0–1 FK Jablonec.
Going into the match, Dukla Praha had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 24 and conceding 13. FK Jablonec had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Dukla Praha's last 10 and 4 of FK Jablonec's last 10; 9 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Dukla Praha averaged 1.78 goals scored and 1.44 conceded across 9 matches; away from home FK Jablonec averaged 0.83 scored and 2.33 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.92 goals from Dukla Praha and 2.62 from FK Jablonec. From that it rates a home win at 10%, a draw at 17% and an away win at 73%, against 24%, 25% and 51% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 90%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Dukla Praha (green) and FK Jablonec (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dukla Praha | DWWWW | 2.40 | 1.30 | 70% | 90% |
| FK Jablonec | DLWLD | 1.00 | 1.00 | 40% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 75% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| BTTS No | 54% | 1.73 |
| FK Jablonec Win | 51% | 1.75 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 44% | 2.15 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.