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FNL · Czech Republic
Dukla Praha vs Baník Ostrava II prediction and preview
12 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Dukla Praha host Baník Ostrava II in the FNL (Czech Republic) on 12 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Dukla Praha 3–2 Baník Ostrava II.
Going into the match, Dukla Praha had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 22 and conceding 12. Baník Ostrava II had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Dukla Praha's last 10 and 6 of Baník Ostrava II's last 10; 8 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Dukla Praha averaged 1.60 goals scored and 1.40 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Baník Ostrava II averaged 2.54 scored and 0.92 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.59 goals from Dukla Praha and 1.56 from Baník Ostrava II. From that it rates a home win at 38%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 36%, against 51%, 26% and 23% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 61%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Dukla Praha (green) and Baník Ostrava II (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dukla Praha | LDWWW | 2.20 | 1.20 | 60% | 80% |
| Baník Ostrava II | LWDWL | 1.80 | 1.20 | 60% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 1X | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 64% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.67 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.