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Prva Liga · Serbia
Dubočica vs FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Dubočica host FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV in the Prva Liga (Serbia) on 11 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 12 — either side to win, with no draw. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Dubočica 2–1 FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV.
Going into the match, Dubočica had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 15. FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 21 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Dubočica's last 10 and 5 of FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Dubočica averaged 0.89 goals scored and 1.11 conceded across 9 matches; away from home FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV averaged 1.20 scored and 2.10 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.79 goals from Dubočica and 1.22 from FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV. From that it rates a home win at 50%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 25%, against 33%, 28% and 39% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 75%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Dubočica (green) and FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dubočica | DDDWL | 1.20 | 1.50 | 50% | 50% |
| FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV | LLLLW | 1.10 | 2.10 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 67% | 1.38 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.39 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.79 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 47% | 2.00 |
| FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV Win | 39% | 2.30 |
| 0-1 | 12% | 8.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.