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Second League - Group 1 · Russia

Druzhba vs Izberbash prediction and preview

3 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Over 1.5 GoalsOdds 1.43Market probability 65%Final score 4–0

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Druzhba host Izberbash in the Second League - Group 1 (Russia) on 3 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.43, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Druzhba 4–0 Izberbash.

Going into the match, Druzhba had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 12. Izberbash had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 7 scored and 23 conceded.

Both teams scored in 6 of Druzhba's last 10 and 6 of Izberbash's last 10; 4 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Druzhba averaged 1.62 goals scored and 1.15 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Izberbash averaged 1.00 scored and 2.77 conceded across 13.

Our team-strength model expects about 2.18 goals from Druzhba and 0.79 from Izberbash. From that it rates a home win at 68%, a draw at 20% and an away win at 11%, against 45%, 29% and 26% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 81%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Druzhba (green) and Izberbash (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form64% – 36%
Attack56% – 44%
Defence43% – 57%
Head-to-head50% – 50%
Goals50% – 50%
Overall strength58% – 41%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
DruzhbaLWWDW1.001.2060%40%
IzberbashDDWLL0.702.3060%60%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
Double Chance 1X74%1.22
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals70%1.34
Over 1.5 Goals65%1.43
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals63%1.49
Under 2.5 Goals59%1.57
BTTS No53%1.74
Druzhba Win45%2.02
Over 2.5 Goals41%2.25

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

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