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2. SNL · Slovenia
Dren Vrhnika vs Krško prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Dren Vrhnika host Krško in the 2. SNL (Slovenia) on 3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.73, which the bookmaker market rated at about 55% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Dren Vrhnika 0–0 Krško.
Going into the match, Dren Vrhnika had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 15. Krško had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Dren Vrhnika's last 10 and 5 of Krško's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Dren Vrhnika averaged 2.86 goals scored and 1.14 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Krško averaged 0.71 scored and 2.29 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.97 goals from Dren Vrhnika and 0.70 from Krško. From that it rates a home win at 66%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 11%, against 53%, 24% and 23% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 50%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Dren Vrhnika (green) and Krško (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dren Vrhnika | LWDWL | 1.20 | 1.50 | 40% | 50% |
| Krško | WLLLD | 1.10 | 1.70 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 62% | 1.52 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.65 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.73 |
| Dren Vrhnika Win | 53% | 1.70 |
| Dren Vrhnika HT & FT | 35% | 2.62 |
| Draw | 24% | 3.70 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.