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Liga Premier Serie A · Mexico
Dragones de Oaxaca vs Mineros de Fresnillo prediction and preview
1 Nov 2026, 00:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Dragones de Oaxaca host Mineros de Fresnillo in the Liga Premier Serie A (Mexico) on 1 Nov 2026, 00:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Mineros de Fresnillo +1.5 Asian Handicap — Mineros de Fresnillo +1.5 Asian Handicap. It was published at odds of 1.32, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Dragones de Oaxaca had won 6, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 9 matches, scoring 25 and conceding 8. Mineros de Fresnillo had won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 6 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Dragones de Oaxaca's last 9 and 4 of Mineros de Fresnillo's last 10; 6 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Dragones de Oaxaca averaged 3.80 goals scored and 0.80 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Mineros de Fresnillo averaged 1.50 scored and 1.25 conceded across 4.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.34 goals from Dragones de Oaxaca and 0.82 from Mineros de Fresnillo. From that it rates a home win at 48%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 22%, against 47%, 26% and 26% implied by the 1X2 prices.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Dragones de Oaxaca (green) and Mineros de Fresnillo (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dragones de Oaxaca | WDWWD | 2.78 | 0.89 | 56% | 67% |
| Mineros de Fresnillo | WDWWL | 1.70 | 0.60 | 40% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 76% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 1X | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 71% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.48 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.59 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
| Dragones de Oaxaca Win | 48% | 1.91 |
| 2nd Half Higher Goals | 47% | 1.97 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- Dragones de Oaxaca form and statistics
- Mineros de Fresnillo form and statistics
- Liga Premier Serie A statistics
Other Liga Premier Serie A matches that day
- Artesanos Metepec vs Atlético Saltillo · 31 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC · Liga Premier Serie A
Published pick: Double Chance 1X - Real Refineros vs Guerreros · 31 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC · Liga Premier Serie A
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals - Ciervos vs FC Santiago · 31 Oct 2026, 21:30 UTC · Liga Premier Serie A
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals - Delfines Coatzacoalcos vs La Tribu de Cd. Juarez · 31 Oct 2026, 21:30 UTC · Liga Premier Serie A
Published pick: Double Chance X2