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Liga Premier Serie A · Mexico
Dragones de Oaxaca vs Guerreros del Pacifico prediction and preview
13 Oct 2026, 02:05 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Dragones de Oaxaca host Guerreros del Pacifico in the Liga Premier Serie A (Mexico) on 13 Oct 2026, 02:05 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Dragones de Oaxaca Win — Dragones de Oaxaca to win. It was published at odds of 1.42, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Dragones de Oaxaca 5–1 Guerreros del Pacifico.
Going into the match, Dragones de Oaxaca had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 6 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 7. Guerreros del Pacifico had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5, with 4 scored and 4 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Dragones de Oaxaca's last 6 and 0 of Guerreros del Pacifico's last 5; 4 and 1 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Dragones de Oaxaca averaged 2.67 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 3 matches; away from home Guerreros del Pacifico averaged 1.00 scored and 1.50 conceded across 2.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.39 goals from Dragones de Oaxaca and 0.84 from Guerreros del Pacifico. From that it rates a home win at 71%, a draw at 19% and an away win at 11%, against 63%, 21% and 16% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 71%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Dragones de Oaxaca (green) and Guerreros del Pacifico (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dragones de Oaxaca | WDWDW | 2.33 | 1.17 | 67% | 67% |
| Guerreros del Pacifico | DWLLW | 0.80 | 0.80 | 0% | 20% |
Averages over each side's last 6 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 76% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 73% | 1.26 |
| Dragones de Oaxaca Win | 63% | 1.42 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 60% | 1.55 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 1.73 |
| Dragones de Oaxaca HT & FT | 44% | 2.10 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 42% | 2.25 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.