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National League - South · England
Dover vs Dorking Wanderers prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Dover host Dorking Wanderers in the National League - South (England) on 10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Dover 1–1 Dorking Wanderers.
Going into the match, Dover had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 14. Dorking Wanderers had won 4, drawn 5 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 25 scored and 20 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Dover's last 10 and 8 of Dorking Wanderers's last 10; 6 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Dover averaged 1.77 goals scored and 1.85 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Dorking Wanderers averaged 1.77 scored and 1.54 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.70 goals from Dover and 1.92 from Dorking Wanderers. From that it rates a home win at 34%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 43%, against 26%, 24% and 50% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 70%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dover | WWWWW | 1.80 | 1.40 | 50% | 60% |
| Dorking Wanderers | WWDDD | 2.50 | 2.00 | 80% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 77% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.28 |
| BTTS Yes | 65% | 1.44 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 55% | 1.67 |
| Dorking Wanderers Win | 51% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.