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Torneo Federal A · Argentina
Douglas Haig vs El Linqueño prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Douglas Haig host El Linqueño in the Torneo Federal A (Argentina) on 18 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Douglas Haig Win — Douglas Haig to win. It was published at odds of 1.65, which the bookmaker market rated at about 54% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Douglas Haig 1–0 El Linqueño.
Going into the match, Douglas Haig had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 8. El Linqueño had won 4, drawn 5 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 4 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Douglas Haig's last 10 and 3 of El Linqueño's last 10; 6 and 1 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Douglas Haig averaged 1.20 goals scored and 0.90 conceded across 10 matches; away from home El Linqueño averaged 0.73 scored and 1.00 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.12 goals from Douglas Haig and 0.53 from El Linqueño. From that it rates a home win at 49%, a draw at 35% and an away win at 16%, against 55%, 27% and 18% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 49%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Douglas Haig (green) and El Linqueño (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Douglas Haig | DDWLW | 1.40 | 0.80 | 40% | 60% |
| El Linqueño | DWWLD | 0.90 | 0.40 | 30% | 10% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 11 Oct 2026 · El Linqueño 0–0 Douglas Haig
- 14 Jun 2026 · El Linqueño 2–0 Douglas Haig
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS No | 61% | 1.50 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Douglas Haig Win | 55% | 1.65 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.