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FA Cup · England
Dorking Wanderers vs Chatham Town prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Dorking Wanderers host Chatham Town in the FA Cup (England) on 3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Dorking Wanderers Win — Dorking Wanderers to win. It was published at odds of 1.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 69% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Dorking Wanderers 1–0 Chatham Town.
Going into the match, Dorking Wanderers had won 4, drawn 5 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 27 and conceding 20. Chatham Town had won 6, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 21 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Dorking Wanderers's last 10 and 6 of Chatham Town's last 10; 9 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Dorking Wanderers averaged 2.00 goals scored and 2.00 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Chatham Town averaged 2.11 scored and 1.33 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.93 goals from Dorking Wanderers and 1.56 from Chatham Town. From that it rates a home win at 46%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 31%, against 69%, 16% and 15% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 46%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Dorking Wanderers (green) and Chatham Town (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorking Wanderers | WDDDD | 2.70 | 2.00 | 80% | 90% |
| Chatham Town | LWLWW | 2.10 | 1.30 | 60% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 77% | 1.23 |
| Dorking Wanderers Win | 69% | 1.30 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| Dorking Wanderers HT & FT | 56% | 1.67 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 55% | 1.73 |
| Dorking Wanderers 1st Half Win | 54% | 1.67 |
| BTTS Yes | 50% | 1.83 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 35% | 2.62 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.