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Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Dordrecht vs VVV Venlo prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Dordrecht host VVV Venlo in the Eerste Divisie (Netherlands) on 24 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Dordrecht had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 26. VVV Venlo had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 27 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Dordrecht's last 10 and 6 of VVV Venlo's last 10; 7 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Dordrecht averaged 1.71 goals scored and 2.00 conceded across 14 matches; away from home VVV Venlo averaged 2.13 scored and 2.13 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.75 goals from Dordrecht and 2.70 from VVV Venlo. From that it rates a home win at 24%, a draw at 19% and an away win at 58%, against 30%, 25% and 45% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 78%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Dordrecht (green) and VVV Venlo (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 72% | 1.30 |
| BTTS Yes | 66% | 1.40 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 55% | 1.67 |
| Over 3.5 Goals | 45% | 2.10 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.