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Eerste Divisie · Netherlands

Dordrecht vs Emmen prediction and preview

9 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

BTTS YesOdds 1.40Market probability 66%Final score 0–3

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Dordrecht host Emmen in the Eerste Divisie (Netherlands) on 9 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Dordrecht 0–3 Emmen.

Going into the match, Dordrecht had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 26. Emmen had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 23 scored and 18 conceded.

Both teams scored in 7 of Dordrecht's last 10 and 6 of Emmen's last 10; 7 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Dordrecht averaged 1.85 goals scored and 1.92 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Emmen averaged 1.50 scored and 3.00 conceded across 8.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.69 goals from Dordrecht and 2.24 from Emmen. From that it rates a home win at 29%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 50%, against 32%, 25% and 43% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 74%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Dordrecht (green) and Emmen (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form36% – 64%
Attack47% – 53%
Defence39% – 61%
Head-to-head60% – 40%
Goals60% – 40%
Overall strength48% – 51%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
DordrechtDWLLL1.302.6070%70%
EmmenDWLLW2.301.8060%70%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
Double Chance 1276%1.25
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals74%1.25
BTTS 1st Half - No72%1.30
BTTS Yes66%1.40
Over 2.5 Goals65%1.44
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals56%1.67
Under 3.5 Goals55%1.67
Over 3.5 Goals45%2.10

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

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