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League One · China

Dongguan United vs Nanjing City prediction and preview

24 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Double Chance X2Odds 1.22Market probability 75%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Dongguan United host Nanjing City in the League One (China) on 24 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Nanjing City to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.22, which the bookmaker market rated at about 75% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, Dongguan United had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 27. Nanjing City had won 1, drawn 3 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 6 scored and 18 conceded.

Both teams scored in 6 of Dongguan United's last 10 and 5 of Nanjing City's last 10; 7 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Dongguan United averaged 0.64 goals scored and 1.82 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Nanjing City averaged 0.62 scored and 1.38 conceded across 13.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.10 goals from Dongguan United and 1.23 from Nanjing City. From that it rates a home win at 32%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 38%, against 23%, 26% and 51% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 69%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Dongguan United (green) and Nanjing City (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form50% – 50%
Attack63% – 38%
Defence39% – 61%
Head-to-head25% – 75%
Goals30% – 70%
Overall strength41% – 58%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
Dongguan UnitedLLWDL0.902.7060%70%
Nanjing CityWDLLL0.601.8050%40%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

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