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League One · China
Dongguan United vs Guangxi Hengchen prediction and preview
7 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Dongguan United host Guangxi Hengchen in the League One (China) on 7 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.22, which the bookmaker market rated at about 77% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Dongguan United 1–0 Guangxi Hengchen.
Going into the match, Dongguan United had won 0, drawn 3 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 22. Guangxi Hengchen had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Dongguan United's last 10 and 4 of Guangxi Hengchen's last 10; 6 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Dongguan United averaged 0.60 goals scored and 2.00 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Guangxi Hengchen averaged 1.67 scored and 0.83 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.95 goals from Dongguan United and 2.37 from Guangxi Hengchen. From that it rates a home win at 13%, a draw at 19% and an away win at 68%, against 16%, 23% and 61% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 85%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Dongguan United (green) and Guangxi Hengchen (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dongguan United | DLDLL | 0.90 | 2.20 | 70% | 60% |
| Guangxi Hengchen | WWWLW | 1.80 | 1.30 | 40% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 30 May 2026 · Guangxi Hengchen 3–3 Dongguan United
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| Guangxi Hengchen Win | 61% | 1.48 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.70 |
| BTTS Yes | 50% | 1.83 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 45% | 2.10 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.