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EFL Trophy · England
Doncaster vs Liverpool U21 prediction and preview
6 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Doncaster host Liverpool U21 in the EFL Trophy (England) on 6 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Doncaster Win — Doncaster to win. It was published at odds of 1.45, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Doncaster 1–0 Liverpool U21.
Going into the match, Doncaster had won 1, drawn 4 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 16. Liverpool U21 had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 7, with 16 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Doncaster's last 10 and 6 of Liverpool U21's last 7; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Doncaster averaged 1.00 goals scored and 1.64 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Liverpool U21 averaged 1.33 scored and 1.67 conceded across 3.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.87 goals from Doncaster and 1.19 from Liverpool U21. From that it rates a home win at 52%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 23%, against 63%, 22% and 16% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 52%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Doncaster (green) and Liverpool U21 (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Doncaster | WLLLD | 1.10 | 1.60 | 70% | 50% |
| Liverpool U21 | DWLWD | 2.29 | 1.86 | 86% | 71% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 77% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 72% | 1.30 |
| Doncaster Win | 63% | 1.45 |
| BTTS Yes | 63% | 1.50 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 51% | 1.80 |
| Doncaster HT & FT | 45% | 2.10 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.