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League One · England
Doncaster vs Burton Albion prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Doncaster host Burton Albion in the League One (England) on 10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Doncaster Win — Doncaster to win. It was published at odds of 1.67, which the bookmaker market rated at about 54% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Doncaster 1–0 Burton Albion.
Going into the match, Doncaster had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 15. Burton Albion had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Doncaster's last 10 and 7 of Burton Albion's last 10; 5 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Doncaster averaged 1.00 goals scored and 1.50 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Burton Albion averaged 0.89 scored and 1.11 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.20 goals from Doncaster and 0.85 from Burton Albion. From that it rates a home win at 43%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 25%, against 56%, 25% and 20% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 43%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Doncaster (green) and Burton Albion (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Doncaster | WWLLL | 1.10 | 1.50 | 60% | 50% |
| Burton Albion | DLWDD | 1.40 | 1.50 | 70% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.25 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| Doncaster Win | 56% | 1.67 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.