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Campionato · San Marino
Domagnano vs Tre Penne prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Domagnano host Tre Penne in the Campionato (San Marino) on 11 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Tre Penne Win — Tre Penne to win. It was published at odds of 1.48, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Domagnano 0–2 Tre Penne.
Going into the match, Domagnano had won 5, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 15. Tre Penne had won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 6 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Domagnano's last 10 and 4 of Tre Penne's last 10; 9 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Domagnano averaged 2.00 goals scored and 1.86 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Tre Penne averaged 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.89 goals from Domagnano and 1.87 from Tre Penne. From that it rates a home win at 17%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 59%, against 17%, 22% and 61% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 59%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Domagnano (green) and Tre Penne (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 16 May 2026 · Tre Penne 3–1 Domagnano
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 71% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 64% | 1.42 |
| Tre Penne Win | 61% | 1.48 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.75 |
| BTTS Yes | 51% | 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 46% | 2.05 |
| Tre Penne HT & FT | 41% | 2.25 |
| 0-1 | 12% | 7.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.