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NPFL · Nigeria
Doma United vs Ikorodu City prediction and preview
31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Pantami Stadium, Gombe
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Doma United host Ikorodu City in the NPFL (Nigeria) on 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Doma United to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.20, which the bookmaker market rated at about 76% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Doma United had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 9 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 11. Ikorodu City had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Doma United's last 9 and 5 of Ikorodu City's last 10; 3 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Doma United averaged 1.60 goals scored and 0.60 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Ikorodu City averaged 0.78 scored and 1.78 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.46 goals from Doma United and 0.98 from Ikorodu City. From that it rates a home win at 47%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 24%, against 48%, 28% and 24% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 76%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Doma United | DLWLD | 1.22 | 1.22 | 44% | 33% |
| Ikorodu City | DLWLD | 1.30 | 1.10 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 76% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 67% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 67% | 1.35 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.75 |
| Doma United Win | 50% | 1.85 |
| BTTS Yes | 50% | 1.82 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 46% | 2.05 |
| 2nd Half Higher Goals | 46% | 2.04 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.