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Cup · Russia
Dinamo Makhachkala vs Zenit prediction and preview
14 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Dinamo Makhachkala host Zenit in the Cup (Russia) on 14 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Zenit Win — Zenit to win. It was published at odds of 1.62, which the bookmaker market rated at about 59% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Dinamo Makhachkala 1–2 Zenit.
Going into the match, Dinamo Makhachkala had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 22. Zenit had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Dinamo Makhachkala's last 10 and 4 of Zenit's last 10; 7 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Dinamo Makhachkala averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.17 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Zenit averaged 1.67 scored and 0.58 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.82 goals from Dinamo Makhachkala and 1.77 from Zenit. From that it rates a home win at 16%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 59%, against 18%, 23% and 59% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 59%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Dinamo Makhachkala (green) and Zenit (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Makhachkala | LLLWL | 1.20 | 2.20 | 60% | 70% |
| Zenit | WWDWW | 1.40 | 0.90 | 40% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 2 Sep 2026 · Zenit 3–0 Dinamo Makhachkala
- 13 Jul 2026 · Zenit 1–1 Dinamo Makhachkala
- 1 Jul 2026 · Zenit 2–0 Dinamo Makhachkala
- 19 Apr 2026 · Dinamo Makhachkala 0–1 Zenit
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 77% | 1.24 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 71% | 1.32 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 67% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 64% | 1.46 |
| Zenit Win | 59% | 1.62 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 55% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.78 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.