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Erovnuli Liga · Georgia
Dinamo Batumi vs Dinamo Tbilisi prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Dinamo Batumi host Dinamo Tbilisi in the Erovnuli Liga (Georgia) on 11 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.51, which the bookmaker market rated at about 60% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Dinamo Batumi 1–0 Dinamo Tbilisi.
Going into the match, Dinamo Batumi had won 6, drawn 4 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches, scoring 22 and conceding 10. Dinamo Tbilisi had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Dinamo Batumi's last 10 and 6 of Dinamo Tbilisi's last 10; 7 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Dinamo Batumi averaged 1.83 goals scored and 1.33 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Dinamo Tbilisi averaged 1.86 scored and 1.64 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.77 goals from Dinamo Batumi and 1.36 from Dinamo Tbilisi. From that it rates a home win at 46%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 29%, against 42%, 26% and 32% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 63%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Dinamo Batumi (green) and Dinamo Tbilisi (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Batumi | DWDWW | 2.20 | 1.00 | 50% | 70% |
| Dinamo Tbilisi | WWWDD | 1.60 | 1.70 | 60% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 23 Jun 2026 · Dinamo Tbilisi 2–1 Dinamo Batumi
- 2 May 2026 · Dinamo Batumi 2–2 Dinamo Tbilisi
- 11 Apr 2026 · Dinamo Tbilisi 2–2 Dinamo Batumi
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 74% | 1.24 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 71% | 1.27 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.49 |
| BTTS Yes | 60% | 1.51 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.70 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 53% | 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 43% | 2.10 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.