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Second League - Group 4 · Russia
Dinamo Barnaul vs Khimik Dzerzhinsk prediction and preview
1 Nov 2026, 05:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Dinamo Barnaul host Khimik Dzerzhinsk in the Second League - Group 4 (Russia) on 1 Nov 2026, 05:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 69% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Dinamo Barnaul had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 14. Khimik Dzerzhinsk had won 7, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 21 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Dinamo Barnaul's last 10 and 4 of Khimik Dzerzhinsk's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Dinamo Barnaul averaged 1.50 goals scored and 1.39 conceded across 18 matches; away from home Khimik Dzerzhinsk averaged 2.21 scored and 0.71 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.05 goals from Dinamo Barnaul and 2.02 from Khimik Dzerzhinsk. From that it rates a home win at 18%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 59%, against 16%, 15% and 69% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 58%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Barnaul | WWWLD | 1.10 | 1.40 | 50% | 50% |
| Khimik Dzerzhinsk | WLWWW | 2.10 | 0.90 | 40% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 30 Aug 2026 · Khimik Dzerzhinsk 3–0 Dinamo Barnaul
- 26 Jul 2026 · Dinamo Barnaul 0–4 Khimik Dzerzhinsk
- 17 May 2026 · Khimik Dzerzhinsk 4–1 Dinamo Barnaul
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Khimik Dzerzhinsk Win | 72% | 1.32 |
| BTTS Yes | 69% | 1.36 |
| 2nd Half Higher Goals | 52% | 1.83 |
| 1-2 | 16% | 6.00 |
| 1-3 | 14% | 6.60 |
| 1-1 | 12% | 8.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- Dinamo Barnaul form and statistics
- Khimik Dzerzhinsk form and statistics
- Second League - Group 4 statistics
Other Second League - Group 4 matches that day
- Akron II vs Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod · 1 Nov 2026, 10:00 UTC · Second League - Group 4
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.41