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Liga Alef · Israel
Dimona vs Hapoel Sderot prediction and preview
9 Oct 2026, 10:35 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Dimona host Hapoel Sderot in the Liga Alef (Israel) on 9 Oct 2026, 10:35 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Dimona to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Dimona 4–1 Hapoel Sderot.
Going into the match, Dimona had won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 7. Hapoel Sderot had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5, with 6 scored and 4 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of Dimona's last 5 and 2 of Hapoel Sderot's last 5; 2 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Dimona averaged 1.00 goals scored and 2.50 conceded across 2 matches; away from home Hapoel Sderot averaged 1.67 scored and 0.67 conceded across 3.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.94 goals from Dimona and 1.47 from Hapoel Sderot. From that it rates a home win at 48%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 29%, against 43%, 28% and 29% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 72%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Dimona (green) and Hapoel Sderot (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dimona | WLWWW | 1.60 | 1.40 | 40% | 40% |
| Hapoel Sderot | DLWLW | 1.20 | 0.80 | 40% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 5 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 71% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.31 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.38 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 51% | 1.79 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 45% | 2.08 |
| Dimona Win | 43% | 2.10 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.20 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.