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State Cup · Israel
Dimona vs Bnei Yehuda prediction and preview
12 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Dimona host Bnei Yehuda in the State Cup (Israel) on 12 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 68% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Dimona 2–0 Bnei Yehuda.
Going into the match, Dimona had won 5, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 6 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 8. Bnei Yehuda had won 7, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 10, with 21 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Dimona's last 6 and 7 of Bnei Yehuda's last 10; 3 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Dimona averaged 2.00 goals scored and 2.00 conceded across 3 matches; away from home Bnei Yehuda averaged 2.08 scored and 0.92 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.55 goals from Dimona and 1.48 from Bnei Yehuda. From that it rates a home win at 38%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 35%, against 70%, 20% and 10% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 58%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dimona | WWLWW | 2.00 | 1.33 | 50% | 50% |
| Bnei Yehuda | WWWDW | 2.10 | 0.80 | 70% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 77% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| Dimona Win | 70% | 1.28 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 68% | 1.40 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.67 |
| Dimona 1st Half Win | 54% | 1.67 |
| Dimona HT & FT | 52% | 1.80 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 51% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.