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Serie D - Girone I · Italy
Digiesse PraiaTortora vs Modica prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Digiesse PraiaTortora host Modica in the Serie D - Girone I (Italy) on 11 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.
Final score: Digiesse PraiaTortora 5–1 Modica.
Going into the match, Digiesse PraiaTortora had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 6 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 4. Modica had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 7, with 10 scored and 5 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of Digiesse PraiaTortora's last 6 and 1 of Modica's last 7; 1 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Digiesse PraiaTortora averaged 0.67 goals scored and 0.33 conceded across 3 matches; away from home Modica averaged 1.50 scored and 1.00 conceded across 4.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.01 goals from Digiesse PraiaTortora and 0.92 from Modica. From that it rates a home win at 62%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 16%. For the published pick itself the model gives 66%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Digiesse PraiaTortora (green) and Modica (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Digiesse PraiaTortora | LWDDD | 1.33 | 0.67 | 33% | 17% |
| Modica | WWLWL | 1.43 | 0.71 | 14% | 43% |
Averages over each side's last 7 matches in our results archive before this fixture.