Difaa EL Jadida vs Moghreb Tetouan prediction and preview

17 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Difaa EL Jadida WinOdds 1.64Market probability 51%Final score 4–1

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Difaa EL Jadida host Moghreb Tetouan in the Botola Pro (Morocco) on 17 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Difaa EL Jadida Win — Difaa EL Jadida to win. It was published at odds of 1.64, which the bookmaker market rated at about 51% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Difaa EL Jadida 4–1 Moghreb Tetouan.

Going into the match, Difaa EL Jadida had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 20. Moghreb Tetouan had won 3, drawn 7 and lost 0 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 5 conceded.

Both teams scored in 8 of Difaa EL Jadida's last 10 and 4 of Moghreb Tetouan's last 10; 6 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Difaa EL Jadida averaged 1.33 goals scored and 2.00 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Moghreb Tetouan averaged 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded across 5.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.56 goals from Difaa EL Jadida and 1.27 from Moghreb Tetouan. From that it rates a home win at 43%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 30%, against 55%, 24% and 21% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 43%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Difaa EL Jadida (green) and Moghreb Tetouan (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form50% – 50%

Attack88% – 13%

Defence9% – 91%

Head-to-head75% – 25%

Goals64% – 36%

Overall strength52% – 47%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Difaa EL Jadida	WLLDL	1.60	2.00	80%	60%
Moghreb Tetouan	DDDWW	1.00	0.50	40%	20%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Over 1.5 Goals	74%	1.24
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	74%	1.23
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	62%	1.48
Difaa EL Jadida Win	55%	1.64
Under 8.5 Corners	54%	1.71
Under 2.5 Goals	51%	1.80
BTTS Yes	50%	1.83
Over 2.5 Goals	49%	1.86

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.