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First Amateur Division · Belgium

Dessel Sport vs Spouwen-Mopertingen prediction and preview

17 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Over 2.5 GoalsOdds 1.44Market probability 65%Final score 3–4

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Dessel Sport host Spouwen-Mopertingen in the First Amateur Division (Belgium) on 17 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Dessel Sport 3–4 Spouwen-Mopertingen.

Going into the match, Dessel Sport had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 17. Spouwen-Mopertingen had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 20 scored and 18 conceded.

Both teams scored in 6 of Dessel Sport's last 10 and 6 of Spouwen-Mopertingen's last 10; 6 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Dessel Sport averaged 2.50 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Spouwen-Mopertingen averaged 1.83 scored and 1.83 conceded across 6.

Our team-strength model expects about 2.35 goals from Dessel Sport and 2.18 from Spouwen-Mopertingen. From that it rates a home win at 43%, a draw at 20% and an away win at 37%, against 46%, 23% and 31% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 83%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Dessel Sport (green) and Spouwen-Mopertingen (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form50% – 50%
Attack50% – 50%
Defence44% – 56%
Head-to-head64% – 36%
Goals50% – 50%
Overall strength57% – 42%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
Dessel SportLWDWL1.801.7060%60%
Spouwen-MopertingenDLWLW2.001.8060%70%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
Double Chance 1277%1.22
BTTS 1st Half - No69%1.33
BTTS Yes67%1.35
Over 2.5 Goals65%1.44
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals54%1.76
Over 9.5 Corners54%1.73
Dessel Sport Win45%2.00
Dessel Sport HT & FT30%3.10

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

More on this match

Other First Amateur Division matches that day