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First Amateur Division · Belgium
Dessel Sport vs Harelbeke prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Dessel Sport host Harelbeke in the First Amateur Division (Belgium) on 3 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Dessel Sport 4–0 Harelbeke.
Going into the match, Dessel Sport had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 8 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 15. Harelbeke had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Dessel Sport's last 8 and 4 of Harelbeke's last 10; 5 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Dessel Sport averaged 2.00 goals scored and 1.33 conceded across 3 matches; away from home Harelbeke averaged 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.34 goals from Dessel Sport and 1.19 from Harelbeke. From that it rates a home win at 62%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 17%, against 52%, 23% and 25% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 69%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Dessel Sport (green) and Harelbeke (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dessel Sport | DWLDW | 1.75 | 1.88 | 75% | 63% |
| Harelbeke | DLLLL | 1.10 | 1.70 | 40% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 75% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 71% | 1.30 |
| BTTS Yes | 66% | 1.40 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 55% | 1.69 |
| Dessel Sport Win | 52% | 1.73 |
| Over 10.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
| Dessel Sport HT & FT | 36% | 2.62 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.