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Serie C - Girone A · Italy
Desenzano Calvina vs Dolomiti Bellunesi prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Desenzano Calvina host Dolomiti Bellunesi in the Serie C - Girone A (Italy) on 10 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Desenzano Calvina to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 73% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Desenzano Calvina 2–0 Dolomiti Bellunesi.
Going into the match, Desenzano Calvina had won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 7. Dolomiti Bellunesi had won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Desenzano Calvina's last 10 and 6 of Dolomiti Bellunesi's last 10; 3 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Desenzano Calvina averaged 0.57 goals scored and 0.86 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Dolomiti Bellunesi averaged 1.13 scored and 1.50 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.04 goals from Desenzano Calvina and 0.62 from Dolomiti Bellunesi. From that it rates a home win at 44%, a draw at 36% and an away win at 20%, against 43%, 30% and 27% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 80%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Desenzano Calvina (green) and Dolomiti Bellunesi (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Desenzano Calvina | WDDLW | 0.70 | 0.70 | 40% | 30% |
| Dolomiti Bellunesi | LDLDD | 1.00 | 0.90 | 60% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 62% | 1.50 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| BTTS No | 53% | 1.67 |
| Desenzano Calvina Win | 43% | 2.10 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 41% | 2.35 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.