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Premier League · Mongolia

Deren vs Khovd prediction and preview

4 Oct 2026, 08:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Double Chance 1XNo priceFinal score 3–3

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Deren host Khovd in the Premier League (Mongolia) on 4 Oct 2026, 08:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Deren to win or draw. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.

Final score: Deren 3–3 Khovd.

Going into the match, Deren had won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 27 and conceding 9. Khovd had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 24 scored and 41 conceded.

Both teams scored in 5 of Deren's last 10 and 5 of Khovd's last 10; 7 and 10 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Deren averaged 3.33 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Khovd averaged 2.43 scored and 4.29 conceded across 7.

Our team-strength model expects about 5.55 goals from Deren and 1.05 from Khovd. From that it rates a home win at 95%, a draw at 3% and an away win at 2%. For the published pick itself the model gives 98%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Deren (green) and Khovd (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form68% – 32%
Attack59% – 41%
Defence75% – 25%
Head-to-head93% – 7%
Goals84% – 16%
Overall strength72% – 28%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
DerenWWWDW2.700.9050%70%
KhovdLWLWW2.404.1050%100%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

More on this match