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Primera División · Venezuela
Deportivo Tachira FC vs UCV prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Deportivo Tachira FC host UCV in the Primera División (Venezuela) on 10 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 74% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Deportivo Tachira FC 4–1 UCV.
Going into the match, Deportivo Tachira FC had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 21 and conceding 14. UCV had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Deportivo Tachira FC's last 10 and 5 of UCV's last 10; 6 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Deportivo Tachira FC averaged 1.70 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 10 matches; away from home UCV averaged 0.86 scored and 2.00 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.41 goals from Deportivo Tachira FC and 0.94 from UCV. From that it rates a home win at 69%, a draw at 19% and an away win at 12%, against 52%, 27% and 21% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 86%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Deportivo Tachira FC (green) and UCV (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Tachira FC | WDLWW | 2.10 | 1.40 | 70% | 60% |
| UCV | DWWDD | 1.20 | 0.90 | 50% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 20 Apr 2026 · UCV 1–1 Deportivo Tachira FC
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.28 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 74% | 1.25 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 1.80 |
| Deportivo Tachira FC Win | 51% | 1.73 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.