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Primera División · Costa Rica
Deportivo Saprissa vs Sporting San Jose prediction and preview
16 Oct 2026, 02:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Deportivo Saprissa host Sporting San Jose in the Primera División (Costa Rica) on 16 Oct 2026, 02:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 73% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Deportivo Saprissa 6–0 Sporting San Jose.
Going into the match, Deportivo Saprissa had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 16. Sporting San Jose had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Deportivo Saprissa's last 10 and 5 of Sporting San Jose's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Deportivo Saprissa averaged 2.58 goals scored and 0.92 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Sporting San Jose averaged 1.00 scored and 1.33 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.41 goals from Deportivo Saprissa and 1.21 from Sporting San Jose. From that it rates a home win at 63%, a draw at 20% and an away win at 17%, against 50%, 27% and 24% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 88%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Deportivo Saprissa (green) and Sporting San Jose (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Saprissa | LWLLD | 1.60 | 1.60 | 60% | 60% |
| Sporting San Jose | WWWLW | 1.80 | 1.00 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 14 Sep 2026 · Sporting San Jose 4–2 Deportivo Saprissa
- 16 Apr 2026 · Sporting San Jose 1–3 Deportivo Saprissa
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 71% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
| Deportivo Saprissa Win | 50% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.