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Primera B Metropolitana · Argentina
Deportivo Merlo vs Talleres Remedios prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Deportivo Merlo host Talleres Remedios in the Primera B Metropolitana (Argentina) on 17 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 60% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Deportivo Merlo 2–1 Talleres Remedios.
Going into the match, Deportivo Merlo had won 1, drawn 5 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 7. Talleres Remedios had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Deportivo Merlo's last 10 and 3 of Talleres Remedios's last 10; 2 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Deportivo Merlo averaged 1.29 goals scored and 1.29 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Talleres Remedios averaged 1.50 scored and 0.50 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.75 goals from Deportivo Merlo and 1.31 from Talleres Remedios. From that it rates a home win at 20%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 49%, against 20%, 29% and 51% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 66%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Merlo | DDLWL | 0.40 | 0.70 | 30% | 20% |
| Talleres Remedios | DLWDL | 0.90 | 0.90 | 30% | 20% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 6 Jun 2026 · Talleres Remedios 2–0 Deportivo Merlo
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 64% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.53 |
| BTTS No | 57% | 1.57 |
| Under 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Talleres Remedios Win | 51% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.