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Primera B Metropolitana · Argentina
Deportivo Merlo vs Brown DE Adrogue prediction and preview
5 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Deportivo Merlo host Brown DE Adrogue in the Primera B Metropolitana (Argentina) on 5 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS No — at least one side to fail to score. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Deportivo Merlo 0–0 Brown DE Adrogue.
Going into the match, Deportivo Merlo had won 1, drawn 4 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 11. Brown DE Adrogue had won 2, drawn 5 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 7 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Deportivo Merlo's last 10 and 3 of Brown DE Adrogue's last 10; 3 and 1 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Deportivo Merlo averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.38 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Brown DE Adrogue averaged 0.25 scored and 0.67 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.72 goals from Deportivo Merlo and 0.69 from Brown DE Adrogue. From that it rates a home win at 31%, a draw at 41% and an away win at 29%, against 31%, 33% and 36% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 73%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Deportivo Merlo (green) and Brown DE Adrogue (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Merlo | LWLDL | 0.40 | 1.10 | 30% | 30% |
| Brown DE Adrogue | WDLDD | 0.70 | 0.80 | 30% | 10% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 23 May 2026 · Brown DE Adrogue 0–1 Deportivo Merlo
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 78% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 1X | 68% | 1.33 |
| BTTS No | 63% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Brown DE Adrogue Win | 36% | 2.55 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.75 |
| 0-0 | 19% | 5.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.