Home › League stats › Primera División › Deportivo Maldonado vs Liverpool Montevideo
Primera División · Uruguay
Deportivo Maldonado vs Liverpool Montevideo prediction and preview
9 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Deportivo Maldonado host Liverpool Montevideo in the Primera División (Uruguay) on 9 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 12 — either side to win, with no draw. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Deportivo Maldonado 1–1 Liverpool Montevideo.
Going into the match, Deportivo Maldonado had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 5. Liverpool Montevideo had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of Deportivo Maldonado's last 10 and 4 of Liverpool Montevideo's last 10; 3 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Deportivo Maldonado averaged 2.08 goals scored and 0.77 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Liverpool Montevideo averaged 1.42 scored and 0.83 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.12 goals from Deportivo Maldonado and 0.82 from Liverpool Montevideo. From that it rates a home win at 41%, a draw at 34% and an away win at 25%, against 38%, 30% and 32% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 67%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Deportivo Maldonado (green) and Liverpool Montevideo (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Maldonado | WWWWL | 1.70 | 0.50 | 20% | 30% |
| Liverpool Montevideo | WWWDL | 1.70 | 0.80 | 40% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 71% | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.73 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 45% | 2.08 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.