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Primera Nacional · Argentina
Deportivo Maipu vs San Martin S.J. prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Deportivo Maipu host San Martin S.J. in the Primera Nacional (Argentina) on 11 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Deportivo Maipu to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 73% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Deportivo Maipu 1–1 San Martin S.J..
Going into the match, Deportivo Maipu had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 9. San Martin S.J. had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Deportivo Maipu's last 10 and 3 of San Martin S.J.'s last 10; 3 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Deportivo Maipu averaged 1.31 goals scored and 0.54 conceded across 13 matches; away from home San Martin S.J. averaged 0.77 scored and 1.08 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.33 goals from Deportivo Maipu and 0.68 from San Martin S.J.. From that it rates a home win at 51%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 18%, against 41%, 32% and 27% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 82%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Deportivo Maipu (green) and San Martin S.J. (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Maipu | WWDDD | 1.20 | 0.90 | 40% | 30% |
| San Martin S.J. | LLWDL | 1.10 | 0.90 | 30% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 23 May 2026 · San Martin S.J. 2–1 Deportivo Maipu
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 1X | 73% | 1.28 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 60% | 1.53 |
| BTTS No | 58% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Deportivo Maipu Win | 42% | 2.25 |
| Under 1.5 Goals | 40% | 2.38 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.