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Primera B Metropolitana · Argentina
Deportivo Laferrere vs Deportivo Merlo prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Deportivo Laferrere host Deportivo Merlo in the Primera B Metropolitana (Argentina) on 10 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Deportivo Laferrere to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.22, which the bookmaker market rated at about 78% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Deportivo Laferrere 1–1 Deportivo Merlo.
Going into the match, Deportivo Laferrere had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 17. Deportivo Merlo had won 1, drawn 4 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 3 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Deportivo Laferrere's last 10 and 2 of Deportivo Merlo's last 10; 5 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Deportivo Laferrere averaged 0.73 goals scored and 1.07 conceded across 15 matches; away from home Deportivo Merlo averaged 0.47 scored and 1.33 conceded across 15.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.84 goals from Deportivo Laferrere and 0.90 from Deportivo Merlo. From that it rates a home win at 59%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 17%, against 48%, 29% and 23% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 83%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Laferrere | WLLDD | 1.40 | 1.70 | 80% | 50% |
| Deportivo Merlo | DLWLD | 0.30 | 1.00 | 20% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 3 Jun 2026 · Deportivo Merlo 2–1 Deportivo Laferrere
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 78% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 62% | 1.50 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| BTTS No | 57% | 1.62 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| Deportivo Laferrere Win | 50% | 1.85 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.